Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 1.017275 1.270235 1.550084 1.879692 2.254348 2.664162 3.143488
2025-06-08 0.653509 0.974793 1.370838 1.881473 2.509139 3.242953 4.152981
2025-06-15 0.466403 0.827037 1.318131 2.001649 2.895256 3.992941 5.411774
2025-06-22 0.325707 0.693578 1.247016 2.073822 3.214444 4.674366 6.625057
2025-06-29 0.220943 0.574690 1.164300 2.106638 3.471244 5.281185 7.767861
2025-07-06 0.137584 0.455101 1.048666 2.066000 3.611096 5.730675 8.718363
2025-07-13 0.090386 0.381692 0.988261 2.093098 3.838680 6.298863 9.836917
2025-07-20 0.057375 0.319591 0.930515 2.110873 4.045365 6.839008 10.928459
2025-07-27 0.031242 0.252483 0.842917 2.061475 4.138415 7.214730 11.800158
2025-08-03 0.015449 0.198637 0.765273 2.014459 4.224839 7.576759 12.656054
2025-08-10 0.007773 0.165304 0.723624 2.025725 4.401445 8.072439 13.707792
2025-08-17 0.002618 0.126980 0.653890 1.969505 4.457033 8.383776 14.499819
2025-08-24 0.001199 0.115108 0.656229 2.063742 4.780541 9.121505 15.937907
2025-08-31 0.000226 0.093537 0.619660 2.069785 4.949291 9.626115 17.050072
2025-09-07 0.000061 0.088865 0.638595 2.200223 5.346025 10.497294 18.718465
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.079124 0.635063 2.278376 5.650625 11.230545 20.196646
2025-09-21 NaN 0.066709 0.614788 2.313984 5.877223 11.844411 21.507712
2025-09-28 NaN 0.050162 0.565367 2.270950 5.952179 12.214654 22.458947
2025-10-05 NaN 0.041414 0.546228 2.300021 6.163788 12.809582 23.757240
2025-10-12 NaN 0.033484 0.524744 2.319065 6.354899 13.373230 25.014791
2025-10-19 NaN 0.023599 0.479637 2.266410 6.399942 13.694307 25.905001
2025-10-26 NaN 0.016111 0.438438 2.216250 6.444718 14.013256 26.794539
2025-11-02 NaN 0.012195 0.419730 2.228288 6.615823 14.547753 28.024795